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\Large{\textbf{Implementations of Probability Theory}}\\

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\Large{Independent Study Appendix and Timesheet}\\
\large{Andrew Simonson}

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\large{Compiled on: \today}\\
 
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% OPEN Timesheet
\begin{longtable}{| c | p{1.3cm} | c | c | p{6cm} |}
\hline
Week & Date & Type & Duration (Hours) & Description \\
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1 & 08/30 & Advising Meetings & 2 & Stat Review Content acknowledgement, Latex overview for reports \\
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1 & 08/26-08/30 & Research & 8 & Subjective Probablistic Models in The Scout Mindset \\
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2 & 09/02 & Reporting & 3 & First applications of Latex for final report, created Timesheet System. \\
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2 & 09/02 & Research & 2.5 & Stat Review: Sample Space through Probability Density Functions \\
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2 & 09/06 & Advising Meetings & 1 & Research Review and exploration of PDF expected values and confidence intervals \\
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3 & 09/14 & Research & 3 & Reading: Fooled by Randomness by Nassim N. Taleb \\
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4 & 09/19 & Research & 2 & Producing Confidence Intervals \\
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4 & 09/20 & Research & 1.5 & Statistical Inference and t-testing \\
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4 & 09/20 & Advising Meetings & 1 & Stat Review finalization, definition of reporting standard \\
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5 & 09/23 & Research & 2.5 & Parametric and Non-parametric tests \\
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5 & 09/26 & Research & 3 & Kinsman's suggested reading: Prob and Stat by Charles Linn \\
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6 & 09/25 - 09/30 & Research & 5 & Reading: Fooled by Randomness by Nassim N. Taleb \\
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6 & 10/03 & Reporting & 4 & Structuring stat review writeup \\
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6 & 10/04 & Reporting & 2 & Confidence Statistics writeup \\
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6 & 10/04 & Research & 2.5 & Ludic Fallacy Reading: Skin in the Game by Nassim N. Taleb \\
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6 & 10/04 & Advising Meetings & 1 & Report review and discussion on replacing deliverables \\
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6 & 10/05 & Application & 1.5 & Hexagonal basis vectors \\
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7 & 10/08 & Research & 2 & The Black Swan by Nassim Taleb \\
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7 & 10/10 & Reporting & 2 & Epistemology Writeup \\
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7 & 10/10 & Research & 1.5 & The Lindy Effect: The Lindy Way of Living - NYT \\
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7 & 10/11 & Reporting & 3 & Moral Hazards, Outsized Impact, Lindy Effect in writeup \\
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7 & 10/11 & Advising Meetings & 1 & Epistemology and Overview discussion, hex mapping \\
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8 & 10/15 & Research & 3 & Bayes Belief Networks \\
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8 & 10/16 & Application & 2.5 & Bayes visualizations and practice worksheets \\
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8 & 10/16 & Reporting & 2 & Early Bayesian Statistics Report \\
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8 & 10/17 & Application & 2 & Bayes Geometric Visualization \\
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8 & 10/18 & Application & 2 & Bayes Belief Network Visualization and reporting \\
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8 & 10/18 & Advising Meetings & 1 & Bayes Report Review \\
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8 & 10/18 & Reporting & 2.5 & Applying meeting feedback \\
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9 & 10/22 & Research & 2 & Dempster-Shafer Theory \\
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9 & 10/25 & Advising Meetings & 0.5 & 'are you doing things' check \\
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9 & 10/26 & Research & 1 & First Pass Markov Chains \\
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10 & 10/28 & Reporting & 3 & Finalization, added Standard Error, Dempster-Shafer Theory, Fooled by Randomness \\
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10 & 10/29 & Reporting & 1 & Lindy, Info Gap tie ins \\
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10 & 10/29 & Research & 3 & Markov Chains (brilliant.org, towardsdatascience) \\
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10 & 10/29 & Reporting & 2 & Markov Chain Summary \\
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10 & 10/31 & Application & 2 & Markov Chain examples and Visuals \\
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10 & 10/31 & Advising Meetings & 1 & Remote Advising \\
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10 & 10/31 & Application & 4 & Cost-Benefit Analysis of Remote Education \\
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11 & 11/5 & Research & 2 & Hidden Markov Models \\
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11 & 11/6 & Research & 2 & Viterbi Algorithm \\
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11 & 11/8 & Advising Meetings & 1.5 & Practicality of Hidden Markov, Viterbi Discussion \\
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12 & 11/10 & Research & 2.5 & Struggling with Viterbi \\
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12 & 11/11 & Research & 3 & Skin in the Game - Renormalization and Minority Rule \\
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12 & 11/12 & Application & 2 & HMM Applications Overviews \\
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12 & 11/14 & Research & 2 & Re-learning Viterbi with LLM assistance \\
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12 & 11/14 & Reporting & 1.5 & Contrasting Viterbi to exponential blowup \\
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12 & 11/15 & Reporting & 3 & Viterbi graphics \\
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12 & 11/15 & Reporting & 1 & Renormalization and Minority Rule Reporting \\
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12 & 11/16 & Reporting & 2 & applying post-wandering mental feedback \\
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13 & 11/18 & Research & 3 & Monte Carlo Simulations \\
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13 & 11/19 & Reporting & 1 & Retrospective Discussion \\
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13 & 11/19 & Reporting & 2 & Monte Carlo Simulations, Buffon's Needle \\
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13 & 11/21 & Research & 1.5 & Skin in the Game - Fragile System Risk Aversion \\
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13 & 11/21 & Research & 5 & Understanding MCMC.  So not worth it. \\
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13 & 11/21 & Reporting & 2 & MCMC writeup \\
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13 & 11/22 & Advising Meetings & 1 & Virtual Review of Research \\
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14 & 11/26-11/30 & Research & 4.5 & The Signal and the Noise - Nate Silver \\
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15 & 12/3 & Advising Meetings & 1 & Impromptu Discussion \\
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15 & 12/5 & Reporting & 2 & Scale as Dimension, Methodology Considerations \\
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15 & 12/5 & Application & 1.5 & Scale as Dimension and Moore's Law calculation (hugggeee numbers) \\
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15 & 12/6 & Advising Meetings & 1 & Report Submission Discussion and Future Application \\
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15 & 12/6 & Reporting & 3 & Pre-Finals Report finalization for semester submission \\
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\end{longtable}
\noindent Hours for Advising Meetings: 13.0\\
Hours for Application: 17.5\\
Hours for Reporting: 42.0\\
Hours for Research: 68.0\\
\textbf{Total Hours: 140.5}\\
% CLOSE Timesheet

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